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Bitcoin, volatility getting lower and lower: it’s a record

The markets and Bitcoin continue to remain caged in the grip of low volatility that in these hours goes to update the absolute historical lows. The daily volatility index on a monthly basis drops to 0.5%, the lowest level ever for Bitcoin.

The low volatility of Bitcoin affects the market

The low price fluctuation on a daily basis does not only affect Bitcoin. Also Ethereum yesterday went from 333 to 343 dollars, with prices moving in a day in a range of only 10 dollars. 

The low volatility of Bitcoin is a condition that affects the rest of the industry.

Coin360 081020
Source: COIN360.com

The only ones that stand out from the top 20 are Monero (XMR) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH), both up by +3.5%. 

Monero, returning above the $110 threshold, aims to break the previous record of the past few days, which saw it exceed $113 for the first time since June 2019. 

Total capitalisation remains at yesterday’s levels at $335 billion. Bitcoin maintains 50% dominance. The dominance of Ethereum and XRP remains unchanged, at 11.5% and 3.5% respectively.

Total volumes remain just under $90 billion, falling to the lowest levels of the last period. 

Volumes fall, DeFi also falls

Bitcoin is the only one that manages to trade over $1.5 billion in the last 24 hours, remaining above the average of the last month. Something that is not happening for Ethereum, under $500 million volume on a daily basis for the 6th consecutive day, lengthening the low-volume strip, just as it has not happened since mid-July last year when it exchanged twice as much every day.

DeFi is affected by this fluctuating trend and weakness. The TVL slipped to 10 billion dollars, levels that had not been recorded since September 22nd. This is due not only to the loss of Ethereum’s value, while the number of ETHs blocked remains unchanged, just above 8 million. Weighs the relative decline of locked BTC to below 140,000 tokenized BTC. 

Uniswap remains the leader of the centralised dapp, with $2.2 billion. Maker and Aave follow.

BTC 20201006
Bitcoin chart by Tradingview

Bitcoin (BTC) between micro oscillations

The micro fluctuations of the last few days accompany the prices towards the final part of the triangle, which has been joining the increasing minimums and maximums since the beginning of September. A triangle that will approximately end by the end of next week. 

The $10,200 threshold remains crucial, which in the last 24 hours has seen a significant increase in the strength of put prices with this technical support becoming the reference level for option derivatives traders. 

Upwardly, the $10,800 to $10,900 threshold remains important.

ETH 20201006
Ethereum chart by Tradingview

Ethereum (ETH)

The analysis of Ethereum remains unchanged from yesterday. The prices oscillate in a range of 10 dollars, prices that are started to test with a decidedly innocuous effect, without importance, the bullish trendline that unites the increasing minimums from the collapse of half March. 

 

Federico Izzi
Federico Izzi
Analista finanziario e trader indipendente – Socio S.I.A.T. & Assob.it. Opera attivamente sui mercati azionari e dei derivati (futures ed opzioni) dal 1997. Precursore dell’analisi ciclica-volumetrica è noto per aver individuato i più importanti movimenti al rialzo ed al ribasso sui mercati finanziari degli ultimi anni. Partecipa annualmente come relatore all’ ITForum di Rimini dall’edizione del 2010 ed InvestingRoma e Napoli dalla prima edizione del 2015. Interviene come ospite ed esperto dei mercati durante le trasmissioni “Trading Room” e “Market Driver” di Class CNBC, Borsa Diretta.tv e nel TG serale di Traderlink. Da luglio 2017 è ospite fisso su LeFonti.TV nell’unico spazio nazionale settimanale dedicato alle criptovalute insieme ai più importanti esperti internazionali del settore. Periodicamente pubblica articoli su ITForum News, Sole24Ore, TrendOnLine, Wall Street Italia. E’ stato intervistato in qualità di esperto di criptovalute per: Forbes Italia, Panorama, StartupItalia, DonnaModerna. E’ stato riconosciuto come primo analista tecnico italiano ad aver pubblicato la prima analisi ciclica secolare sul Bitcoin. Federico Izzi è… Zio Romolo
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