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Bitcoin: recovery of the bullish channel is unlikely

Bitcoin, after recovering the $9,500 yesterday, today tries to confirm itself above this level, although it would seem that as time goes by the recovery of the bullish channel seems less likely. A recovery which from the lows of March and until Friday characterized the entire movement until the break-down of the lower channel, where prices continue to fluctuate even now, in the $9,600 area.

coin360 20200617
Source: COIN360.com

Among the big ones, there are no particular upward movements, to the point that among the top 15 performances of today there are no coins exceeding 2%. These rises give positive signals that if confirmed in the next few hours would give a signal of reaction after the declines that occurred between Sunday and Monday.

Volumes see a sharp contraction with just over $50 billion, about 40% less than yesterday’s levels. Bitcoin trading volumes are holding up well, although lower than yesterday’s, remaining just under 2 billion dollars, a decrease from Monday’s levels, but still tonic levels.

The market cap is trying to recover the $270 billion after Monday morning’s slide, when for the first time since the end of May total capitalization fell below $250 billion. 

Bitcoin stays above 65%. Ethereum’s market share continues to decline after it failed to recover 10% last week. During these hours ETH remains below 9.6%. Ripple is continuing to fluctuate at the lowest levels since December 2017 at 3.15%.

Among the rises to be highlighted, Verge (XVG) continues to make a double-digit jump of 13%. The best is Flexacoin (FXC) which climbs 27% to 63rd position with just under $120 million.

On the other side, the DeFi universe is experiencing declines. The deepest drops are those of Zilliqa (ZIL), -4.5%, Maker (MKR), -2.5%, Ren (REN) -2.20%, 0x (0X) -1.45%. 

EDO 20200617

Eidoo (EDO) goes against the trend in the DeFi universe, recovering yesterday’s 62 cents, the highest level since July 2019. Eidoo today consolidates the rise of recent days with a +2%, a performance that sees it more than double the token prices since the end of May when the token recorded a $0.30 while in these hours is close to 0.60. 

Yesterday Eidoo touched 62 cents, but then profit-taking prevailed.

BTC 20200617
Bitcoin chart by Tradingview

Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin keeps above $9,500 even today. The attempt to get back into the bullish channel that accompanied the price movements of the last quarter has been abandoned. 

The bullish movement would be confirmed if in the next few hours prices were to trigger a tonic rise above $9,900. This is the level to consider to attract new purchases. 

This area also coincides with the static resistance that since the beginning of May several times has seen the defensive reaction of the Bears that have always prevailed by rejecting the price below this level. For Bitcoin, the situation would weaken again with prices under $8,900-9,000.

ETH 20200617
Ethereum chart by Tradingview

Ethereum (ETH)

Although with fatigue and the risk of a possible break-down, prices remain above the lower neckline of the bullish channel, which remains a valid level in the medium to long term. 

This dynamic support is now just under $230. Ethereum fluctuates just above this level. 

It is necessary for ETH to consolidate these levels to give a bullish impulse over $240. A break of $230 would not negatively affect the trend in the last quarter, but it could open up the possibility of an extension beyond $215, which corresponds to the former resistance area that has now become support in the medium-long term. 

A break of $215 would start to worry Ethereum enthusiasts and traders about the medium to long term performance. Whereas if ETH goes back above $250, a new bullish phase could begin.

 

Federico Izzi
Federico Izzi
Analista finanziario e trader indipendente – Socio S.I.A.T. & Assob.it. Opera attivamente sui mercati azionari e dei derivati (futures ed opzioni) dal 1997. Precursore dell’analisi ciclica-volumetrica è noto per aver individuato i più importanti movimenti al rialzo ed al ribasso sui mercati finanziari degli ultimi anni. Partecipa annualmente come relatore all’ ITForum di Rimini dall’edizione del 2010 ed InvestingRoma e Napoli dalla prima edizione del 2015. Interviene come ospite ed esperto dei mercati durante le trasmissioni “Trading Room” e “Market Driver” di Class CNBC, Borsa Diretta.tv e nel TG serale di Traderlink. Da luglio 2017 è ospite fisso su LeFonti.TV nell’unico spazio nazionale settimanale dedicato alle criptovalute insieme ai più importanti esperti internazionali del settore. Periodicamente pubblica articoli su ITForum News, Sole24Ore, TrendOnLine, Wall Street Italia. E’ stato intervistato in qualità di esperto di criptovalute per: Forbes Italia, Panorama, StartupItalia, DonnaModerna. E’ stato riconosciuto come primo analista tecnico italiano ad aver pubblicato la prima analisi ciclica secolare sul Bitcoin. Federico Izzi è… Zio Romolo
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