HomeTradingBitcoin and gold: direct correlation between the prices

Bitcoin and gold: direct correlation between the prices

Last week the 1-month correlation index between gold and Bitcoin reached the highest level ever, confirming a direct relation with the prices and rises recorded since mid-July that brought gold to an all-time record of $2,074 an ounce and Bitcoin just over $12,100, reviewing last summer’s highs.

Gold and Bitcoin, prices updated

With yesterday’s decline, the price of gold lost more than 10% in just 3 days. A downward move second only to the one experienced last March when gold lost more than 14% in just 8 days. The movement in a few hours brings the prices back to mid-July levels, cancelling the rally of the last two weeks. 

GOLD 20200813

Even Bitcoin yesterday recorded a weak start of the day that pushed prices to update the lows of the last seven days going to test the psychological threshold of 11,100 dollars

Only during the second part of the day did the hesitant return of purchases allow to recover the $11,500 threshold, managing to close the day with a positive sign. This condition is also reflected in these early hours of the day with a rise above 1% from yesterday morning’s levels. 

coin360 20200813
Source: COIN360.com

Crypto market in positive

Among the first 100 capitalized, even today the positive signs prevail with more than 70% preceded by the plus sign. Scrolling the list, it is necessary to go down to the 40th position to find the first red sign: it is the Energy Web Token (EWT), slightly down (-0.2%) from yesterday morning’s levels.

There are many double-digit increases, among them Chainlink (LINK) that with a sprint of 30% exceeds $17.5 setting a new absolute record

This value increases its capitalization over $6.2 billion, undermining the fifth place of Bitcoin Cash (BCH). 

Also worth noting are the rises of Swipe (SXP) and Waves, both up by over 40%, as well as Algorand (ALGO) +31%; Synthetix Network (SNX), Maker (MKR), Cosmos (ATOM) and Theta, all over 15%.

For the first time since the end of June 2019, Bitcoin’s dominance drops below 60%. Ethereum also fell from last week’s levels to 12.1% – levels at the beginning of the month – and XRP at 3.5%. 

The uncertain trend of the last 48 hours is causing overall trading volumes to fall below $150 billion.  

Those of Bitcoin halved to just over $1.7 billion ($3.2 billion traded on Tuesday), as well as Ethereum with just over $800 million ($1.5 billion the day before).

BTCUSD 20200813
Bitcoin chart by Tradingview

Bitcoin (BTC)

The technical structure remains unchanged from yesterday’s analysis. Defences are strengthened at 11,850-11,900 dollars, even if the crucial levels in the short term remain at 12,100 dollars. 

For a confirmation of the increase, it is necessary to go beyond 12,400 dollars

BTCEUR 20200813

The Euro cross chart continues to test the former resistance in the 9500 area.

ETH 20200813
Ethereum chart by Tradingview

Ethereum (ETH)

The situation for Ethereum also remains unchanged. Yesterday’s operational guidelines remain valid. Upwards it is necessary to go beyond $410 in the medium term. 

In the short term, it is necessary not to slide below $365 in order not to attract bearish speculation down to $325, lacking any particular protection.

 

Federico Izzi
Federico Izzi
Analista finanziario e trader indipendente – Socio S.I.A.T. & Assob.it. Opera attivamente sui mercati azionari e dei derivati (futures ed opzioni) dal 1997. Precursore dell’analisi ciclica-volumetrica è noto per aver individuato i più importanti movimenti al rialzo ed al ribasso sui mercati finanziari degli ultimi anni. Partecipa annualmente come relatore all’ ITForum di Rimini dall’edizione del 2010 ed InvestingRoma e Napoli dalla prima edizione del 2015. Interviene come ospite ed esperto dei mercati durante le trasmissioni “Trading Room” e “Market Driver” di Class CNBC, Borsa Diretta.tv e nel TG serale di Traderlink. Da luglio 2017 è ospite fisso su LeFonti.TV nell’unico spazio nazionale settimanale dedicato alle criptovalute insieme ai più importanti esperti internazionali del settore. Periodicamente pubblica articoli su ITForum News, Sole24Ore, TrendOnLine, Wall Street Italia. E’ stato intervistato in qualità di esperto di criptovalute per: Forbes Italia, Panorama, StartupItalia, DonnaModerna. E’ stato riconosciuto come primo analista tecnico italiano ad aver pubblicato la prima analisi ciclica secolare sul Bitcoin. Federico Izzi è… Zio Romolo
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